Rerouting the Map: Semantic Search and Deflection Advertising in the POI Market
How RAG-based semantic search and route-aware advertising could create a $15B market competing with Yelp and Google
Yelp dominates local search with reviews and ads. Google owns the map. But what if the next POI platform doesn't compete on listings — but on semantic understanding of user intent and route deflection?
The $15B Opportunity in Local Search
Yelp reported over $1.3 billion in revenue in 2024, primarily from local advertising. Google's local search ads generate an estimated $50+ billion annually. Together, they represent a mature, entrenched duopoly in the point-of-interest (POI) discovery and monetization market.
Yet both platforms operate on fundamentally static models:
- →Keyword-based search — users type "coffee near me" and get proximity-ranked listings
- →Geofence advertising — merchants pay for visibility when users are physically nearby
- →Review-based ranking — star ratings and volume determine prominence
- →Static monetization — CPM or CPC for top-of-page placements
This works — but it leaves enormous value on the table. What if search understood why you're looking for coffee (quick grab before a meeting vs. leisurely brunch), how it fits your route (2-minute detour vs. 10-minute backtrack), and what matters semantically (quiet space, outdoor seating, vegan options)?
The Market Gap
Traditional POI platforms optimize for merchant visibility. The next generation will optimize for user intent fulfillment — matching semantic requirements to route-aware recommendations powered by retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) and vector embeddings.
Part I: The Technology — Semantic Search + RAG Over the POI Graph
Traditional POI search relies on keyword matching + geo-ranking + review heuristics. Replace that with a layered semantic architecture:
The Four-Layer Semantic POI Stack
Layer 1: Canonical POI Graph
Authoritative business data including location, hours, menus, inventory tags, and structured attributes (price range, ambiance, accessibility features).
Foundation: Structured data that serves as ground truth
Layer 2: Unstructured Semantic Layer
Reviews, photos, user Q&A, social posts — all embedded into a vector store using models like OpenAI text-embedding-3 or Sentence-BERT for semantic retrieval.
Enables: "Find quiet cafes with strong pour-overs mentioned in reviews"
Layer 3: Real-Time Contextual Signals
User route, traffic conditions, transit availability, time constraints, transport mode (walking, biking, driving), calendar context, and learned preferences.
Powers: Dynamic detour calculations and intent inference
Layer 4: RAG Orchestration Engine
At query time, a semantic embedding retrieval step pulls the most relevant POI nodes and review snippets. An LLM synthesizes a concise, personalized answer: "Best vegan spot en route with outdoor seating and <$30 mains — 12-min detour".
RAG improves grounding and timeliness vs. LLMs alone — see Azure RAG patterns
What This Enables: Conversational, Intent-Based Discovery
Instead of typing keywords, users express natural intent:
"I'm biking to the train station, want a quick coffee and pastry under $8, prefer quiet places"
The system reasons about mobility mode (bike-friendly), route detours (<5 minutes), budget ($8), and semantic preferences (quiet ambiance) — surfacing POIs with review excerpts like "peaceful corner spot" and "fast service for grab-and-go".
This isn't autocomplete or spell-check — it's semantic understanding of what matters to you in this moment, on this route, with these constraints.
The ML/AI Core: Graph Models and Semantic Embeddings
Delivering semantic POI search isn't a matter of plugging in a few APIs — it requires world-class machine learning and artificial intelligence capabilities. This is sophisticated, research-grade work that forms an insurmountable competitive moat for companies that master it.
The ability to build rich graph models of places, generate high-quality semantic embeddings, and execute sub-100ms vector similarity searches at scale is a core competency — not a commodity service.
Building the POI Knowledge Graph
At the foundation lies a comprehensive knowledge graph of places — not just lat/long coordinates and business names, but a rich, multi-dimensional representation of what makes each location unique:
POI Graph Entity Model
Core Attributes
- • Identity: Name, address, canonical coordinates, business type hierarchy
- • Operational: Hours (regular + holiday schedules), pricing tier, capacity, accessibility
- • Spatial: Entrance locations, parking availability, transit connections, walkability score
Semantic Attributes
- • Ambiance: Quiet vs. lively, casual vs. formal, family-friendly vs. date-night
- • Experience: Quick-service vs. sit-down, grab-and-go vs. leisurely, indoor vs. outdoor
- • Specializations: Dietary options (vegan, gluten-free), unique offerings (live music, dog-friendly)
- • Contextual fit: Work-friendly (WiFi, outlets), social (group seating), solo-friendly
Relational Edges
- • Similar to: Businesses with comparable ambiance, menu, price point
- • Complements: Coffee shop near dry cleaner, pharmacy near grocery store
- • Competes with: Direct substitutes for a given user intent
- • Co-occurs with: Businesses frequently visited together (morning coffee → evening dinner)
Building this graph requires entity resolution at scale — merging data from multiple sources (licensed feeds, OSM, user contributions, web scraping) while handling duplicates, conflicting attributes, and temporal changes. A single café might appear 5 times across different databases with slightly different names, coordinates, or hours.
Generating Semantic Embeddings: The AI Sophistication
Once you have the graph, the next challenge is embedding each POI into a high-dimensional vector space where semantic similarity translates to geometric proximity. This is where cutting-edge ML/AI becomes essential.
The Embedding Pipeline: Research-Grade ML
1. Multi-Modal Embedding Generation
Each POI must be represented not as a single vector, but as a fusion of multiple embedding spaces:
- •Text embeddings from reviews, menus, descriptions using text-embedding-3-large (3,072 dimensions) or all-MiniLM-L6-v2 (384 dimensions)
- •Image embeddings from photos using CLIP or ResNet to capture visual ambiance and presentation quality
- •Categorical embeddings for structured attributes (cuisine type, price tier, accessibility features) learned via entity embedding layers
- •Behavioral embeddings from visit patterns, dwell times, and user co-visitation graphs (collaborative filtering on location sequences)
2. Fusion and Dimensionality Reduction
Combining 4+ embedding modalities (totaling 5,000+ dimensions) requires learned fusion networks:
- • Cross-attention transformers that weight each modality based on query context
- • Neural dimensionality reduction (autoencoders, UMAP) to compress to 512-1024 dimensions for efficient similarity search
- • Contrastive learning objectives that ensure semantically similar POIs cluster together even across diverse data sources
3. Fine-Tuning for Intent Matching
Off-the-shelf embeddings don't understand local search intent. You need domain-specific fine-tuning:
- • Training on query-POI relevance pairs from historical search logs
- • Hard negative mining to distinguish "quiet coffee shop" from "bustling café"
- • Multi-task learning across search, recommendation, and route optimization objectives
- • Temporal adaptation to handle seasonal changes (outdoor seating in summer vs. cozy fireplaces in winter)
Vector Search at Scale: Engineering Excellence
Having high-quality embeddings means nothing if you can't query them in real-time. Sub-100ms similarity search over millions of POI vectors requires advanced indexing and infrastructure:
Production Vector Search Stack
Approximate Nearest Neighbor (ANN) Algorithms
Exact k-NN search is O(N) — too slow for millions of vectors. Production systems use graph-based or tree-based ANN:
- • HNSW (Hierarchical Navigable Small World) — graph-based, excellent recall/latency tradeoff
- • IVF (Inverted File Index) with PQ (Product Quantization) — compresses vectors, reduces memory
- • ScaNN (Google) or FAISS (Meta) — optimized for GPU acceleration
Hybrid Search: Combining Vector + Structured Filters
Real queries need both semantic similarity and hard constraints:
"Find quiet coffee shops within 5 minutes that are open now and cost under $10"
This requires pre-filtering (spatial index + attribute filters) before vector search, or post-filtering with over-fetching. Advanced systems use learned query routing to choose the optimal strategy per query.
Why This is a Defensible Moat
Building semantic POI search isn't about buying API access — it's about years of ML/AI research, data engineering, and infrastructure optimization. Here's why this becomes an insurmountable competitive advantage:
1. Data Network Effects
Every search query improves the embeddings. Every user visit refines the behavioral signals. Every review adds semantic richness. Competitors starting from scratch face a multi-year data deficit.
"With 1M daily searches, you generate 30M training examples per month for fine-tuning your embedding models — compounding advantage over time."
2. Specialized ML Expertise
This work requires teams with deep expertise in NLP, graph neural networks, contrastive learning, and production ML systems. Hiring, retaining, and coordinating these specialists is expensive and time-consuming.
"A single senior ML engineer with embedding fine-tuning experience costs $300K-500K/year. You need 3-5 to build this system."
3. Infrastructure Costs as Quality Signal
Running vector search at <100ms latency for 1M DAUs costs $50K-100K/month in compute and storage. Competitors who cheap out with slower, lower-quality search lose users to better experiences.
"Users abandon searches after 200ms. Your vector index latency budget is 50-80ms, leaving 120ms for LLM synthesis and routing."
4. Continuous Model Improvement
Semantic search quality isn't static — it requires continuous A/B testing, model retraining, and embedding updates. Companies that treat this as a one-time integration plateau quickly, while leaders maintain 18-month performance leads.
Bottom line: Semantic POI search is not a feature you can license or copy. It's a multi-year ML/AI capability that becomes the foundation of everything else — routing, advertising, recommendations, conversational search.
This is why Maei.ai has invested deeply in trajectory semantics, motion embeddings, and spatial intelligence. Our agentic POI platforms and semantic trip annotation specs are built on this foundation — and it's a moat competitors can't easily cross.
Part II: Deflection Advertising — The New Paradigm
Here's where market disruption begins. Introduce a fundamentally new ad format: deflection advertising.
What is Deflection Advertising?
Ads triggered based on route semantics — the path a user is taking and how a given POI would change that path — not merely proximity or static geofences.
Merchants bid to deflect your route by offering value that justifies the detour: faster service, better price, preferred amenities, or unique offerings mentioned in reviews.
Key Characteristics of Deflection Ads
1. Route-Aware Insertion
Ads are bid or served only when a merchant meaningfully fits a user's route. A café that's a 3-minute detour from your route to a meeting qualifies; one that's 15 minutes in the wrong direction doesn't.
2. Contextual Relevance
Ad creative is dynamic and personalized: "15% off if you stop now" + ETA change + parking info + "Order ahead for curbside pickup in 8 minutes". The system uses conversational signals (time constraints, transport mode, calendar) to tailor the offer.
3. Moment Intent
The platform infers why you're searching based on route context, time of day, past behavior, and conversational cues. Morning commute + "coffee" = grab-and-go. Weekend afternoon + "brunch" = leisurely dining.
4. Outcome-Based Pricing
Advertisers choose pay-for-deflection (CPA: completed visits), click/claim (coupon redemption), or hybrid CPM for visibility in route suggestions. Attribution is measured via on-device signals and differential privacy to protect user data.
Traditional local ads pay to appear for "nearby" users. Deflection ads compete for a user's route attention — where the commodity is minutes of time and willingness to detour.
Sample User Flow: How Deflection Works
- 1.
User Intent
User asks the app: "Take me to the courthouse." The app calculates the optimal route.
- 2.
Semantic Detection
Mid-route, the RAG engine detects user preference for coffee from recent searches and calendar context (meeting at 10 AM = need caffeine).
- 3.
Deflection Auction
Merchants within acceptable detour thresholds (<5 min) and matching semantic intent (quick service, high-quality coffee) bid in real-time.
- 4.
Personalized Card
Winner sends a grounded card: "Walk-in latte, 2 min extra — order now for curbside pickup & 10% off." The LLM cites review snippets: "fast service", "great pour".
- 5.
Route Update & Attribution
User swipes to accept; route updates. A deferred attribution event (arrived & purchased) is tracked via on-device signals with differential privacy.
This flow tightly couples search, conversational intent, route planning, and advertising — making it feel like the app is helping the user make better decisions rather than interrupting them with irrelevant ads.
Part III: Technical Architecture
Building a semantic deflection platform requires six core components:
System Architecture: Semantic Deflection Platform
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ USER INTERFACE LAYER │
│ │
│ Conversational Input → Intent Parser → Route Planner │
│ (Natural language, (LLM extracts (Maps API + │
│ voice, or text) constraints) detour calc) │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
│
▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ SEMANTIC RETRIEVAL LAYER │
│ │
│ Vector/Semantic Index ──► POI Graph ──► Review Embeddings │
│ (Pinecone, Weaviate, (Canonical (Text-embedding-3, │
│ Qdrant, ChromaDB) POI data) Sentence-BERT) │
│ │
│ Fast similarity search over reviews, menus, Q&A, and attributes │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
│
▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ RAG ORCHESTRATION │
│ │
│ Query → Retrieval → Context Assembly → LLM Generation │
│ (User (Top-k (POI facts + (GPT-4, Claude, │
│ intent) semantic review snippets) Gemini) │
│ matches) │
│ │
│ Output: Personalized recommendations with citations │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
│
▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ DEFLECTION AD AUCTION │
│ │
│ Eligible Merchants ──► Bid Evaluation ──► Winner Selection │
│ (Within detour (Expected value (Highest value/ │
│ threshold) × conversion detour cost) │
│ probability) │
│ │
│ Auction ranks by: (Merchant Bid × P(accept)) / Detour Cost │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
│
▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ KNOWLEDGE CONNECTORS │
│ │
│ Inventory APIs ──► Reservation Systems ──► Merchant Data │
│ (Real-time (Wait times, (Hours, menus, │
│ availability) capacity) specials) │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘
│
▼
┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│ ATTRIBUTION & PRIVACY LAYER │
│ │
│ On-Device Signals ──► Differential Privacy ──► Aggregate Reporting │
│ (Location pings, (Anonymized visit (Merchant dashboards │
│ purchases) attribution) show conversions) │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘Six-layer architecture enabling semantic retrieval, RAG orchestration, deflection auctions, and privacy-preserving attribution
Component Details
Vector/Semantic Index
Stores embeddings of reviews, menus, Q&A, and POI attributes for fast similarity search. Options include Pinecone, Weaviate, Qdrant, or ChromaDB.
Enables queries like: "Coffee shops mentioned as quiet with strong espresso"
Routing Engine Hook
Open SDK that evaluates tradeoffs: ETA delta, transport mode, accessibility, and user tolerance. Integrates with mapping APIs from Google Maps, Mapbox, or HERE Technologies.
Calculates acceptable detour windows (e.g., <5 min for commute, <15 min for leisure)
Auction Service
Ranks merchants by (Bid × Conversion Probability) / Detour Cost. Uses learned models to predict user acceptance based on historical behavior, time constraints, and offer value.
Optimizes for user utility while maximizing merchant ROI
Attribution & Privacy Layer
Uses on-device signals and differential privacy to measure incremental visits without leaking PII. Apple's Differential Privacy framework provides a model for aggregate reporting.
Merchants see conversion metrics without accessing individual user data
Part IV: The Ad Auction — Economic Model
The deflection auction is where market innovation crystallizes. Unlike traditional ad platforms that optimize for impressions or clicks, this auction optimizes for user time value and route utility.
Bid Primitives
1. Cost Per Deflection (CPD)
Merchants pay only when a user completes a visit after accepting the deflection suggestion. High attribution accuracy required.
2. Cost Per Claim (CPC)
Payment triggered when user claims an offer (coupon redemption, reservation). Lower friction than full visit attribution.
3. Hybrid CPM + Performance
Base CPM for route visibility + performance bonus for conversions. Balances brand awareness with outcome accountability.
Value Model: Ranking Logic
The auction ranks merchants by expected incremental value:
Ad Rank = (Merchant Bid × P(user accepts)) / User Detour Cost
Merchant Bid
How much merchant pays per deflection/claim
P(user accepts)
Learned model predicting acceptance based on offer value, reviews, and context
Detour Cost
Minutes added to route (user's time)
This formula ensures user experience remains central. A high bid doesn't win if the detour is too costly or acceptance probability is low. The platform optimizes for mutually beneficial deflections.
User Price Controls
Users set personal detour limits:
- •Max detour time (e.g., 5 min for work commutes, 15 min for weekend exploration)
- •Category preferences (coffee shops yes, car washes no)
- •Ad frequency caps (max 2 deflection suggestions per route)
This gives users agency over their attention — fundamentally different from today's interruptive ad models.
Part V: Market Analysis — Competing with Yelp and Google
Here's where visionary meets viable. Can a semantic deflection platform truly compete with entrenched giants?
Competitive Positioning
| Dimension | Yelp / Google | Semantic Deflection Platform |
|---|---|---|
| Search Paradigm | Keyword + geo + star rating | Semantic intent + route context + RAG citations |
| Ad Model | Proximity geofence, top-of-page CPM/CPC | Route-aware deflection, outcome-based CPD |
| User Experience | Static listings, user browses reviews | Conversational discovery, AI synthesizes answer |
| Merchant Value | Pay for visibility (uncertain conversion) | Pay for outcomes (verified visits/claims) |
| Data Moat | Review corpus, business listings | Semantic embeddings + user preference models + route behavior |
| Privacy Approach | Aggregated analytics, some tracking concerns | On-device signals + differential privacy |
Market Entry Strategy
Attacking Yelp and Google head-on is futile. The winning strategy: vertical wedge + horizontal expansion.
Phase 1: Vertical Wedge (Year 1-2)
Launch in high-intent, time-sensitive categories where semantic understanding and route optimization provide maximum value:
- •Coffee/Quick Service — commuters want fast, quality options en route
- •Lunch/Dinner Pickup — time-constrained professionals need detour-optimized suggestions
- •EV Charging + Services — drivers en route to chargers want nearby amenities
Target: 50K DAUs in 2-3 metro areas, $5M ARR
Phase 2: Horizontal Expansion (Year 3-4)
Expand to broader categories once the semantic + routing engine proves value:
- •Retail (pharmacy, groceries) — "Find drugstore en route with flu shots available"
- •Services (car wash, dry cleaning) — errands optimized around existing routes
- •Entertainment (bars, events) — weekend exploration with detour flexibility
Target: 500K DAUs in 10+ metros, $50M ARR
Phase 3: Platform Dominance (Year 5+)
Become the default conversational POI layer embedded in:
- •Ride-sharing apps (Uber, Lyft) — "Add coffee stop to your route"
- •Mapping platforms (Apple Maps, Waze) — semantic search layer via SDK
- •Automotive infotainment — in-car POI assistant
Target: 5M+ DAUs, $200M+ ARR, B2B SDK licensing
Hypothetical Market Assessment
Market Size & TAM
Total Addressable Market (TAM)
$65 Billion
U.S. local advertising market (including Google Local, Yelp, Facebook Local, out-of-home, and direct mail). Source: BIA Advisory Services
Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM)
$15 Billion
Digital local search and discovery advertising (Google Local Services, Yelp, Apple Maps ads). Excludes out-of-home and direct mail.
Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) — Year 5
$750 Million
5% market share of digital local ads through semantic deflection platform. Conservative estimate based on wedge strategy starting in high-intent verticals.
Revenue Model Projections
| Metric | Year 1 | Year 3 | Year 5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Active Users | 50,000 | 500,000 | 5,000,000 |
| Avg Deflections/User/Month | 2.0 | 4.0 | 6.0 |
| Conversion Rate (Deflection → Visit) | 15% | 25% | 35% |
| Avg CPD (Cost Per Deflection) | $2.50 | $3.50 | $4.50 |
| Monthly Revenue | $450K | $4.4M | $63M |
| Annual Revenue | $5.4M | $52.5M | $756M |
These projections assume conservative user growth (5M DAUs is <2% of U.S. smartphone users), improving conversion rates as ML models learn user preferences, and moderate CPD pricing ($4.50 is below typical local ad CPAs of $10-30).
Why Merchants Will Pay More
Deflection advertising delivers higher ROI than traditional local ads:
❌ Traditional Local Ads
- • Pay for impressions (uncertain intent)
- • Proximity-based (user may not need service)
- • Generic creative (one-size-fits-all)
- • Attribution: 30-60 day window, high noise
- • CPA: $15-30 for typical local visit
✅ Deflection Ads
- • Pay for outcomes (verified visits/claims)
- • Intent-based (semantic match to user need)
- • Personalized creative (dynamic offers + citations)
- • Attribution: Real-time, on-device signals
- • CPA: $4.50 CPD → $12.85 effective CPA (35% conversion)
Merchants pay 30-40% less per acquisition while reaching higher-intent users at the moment of decision. This creates a powerful economic flywheel.
Part VI: Challenges and Mitigations
No market disruption comes without obstacles. Here are the key challenges and how to address them:
Challenge 1: Cold Start — No Reviews = No Semantic Index
Without a review corpus, semantic retrieval doesn't work. Yelp has 250M+ reviews; you have zero.
Mitigation: Bootstrap by scraping public reviews (Yelp, Google, TripAdvisor) with proper attribution, then layer in synthetic review summaries generated by LLMs from merchant-provided descriptions. As users engage, collect native feedback (ratings, visit confirmations) to build proprietary data.
Challenge 2: Privacy Concerns — Location Tracking for Attribution
Users are wary of location tracking. Attribution requires knowing if users visited after accepting deflections.
Mitigation: Use on-device location pings with differential privacy (Apple's framework). Merchants see aggregate conversion rates, not individual user paths. Offer opt-in attribution with rewards (e.g., 5% cashback for sharing visit data).
Challenge 3: Merchant Adoption — Why Switch from Yelp/Google?
Merchants have established relationships with existing platforms. Inertia is high.
Mitigation: Start with SMBs underserved by Yelp (can't afford $300+/month packages). Offer performance-only pricing (pay per visit, no upfront fees). Provide ROI transparency via real-time dashboards showing deflection → visit → revenue.
Challenge 4: User Behavior Change — People Search, Not Chat
Users are habituated to keyword search. Conversational discovery is unfamiliar.
Mitigation: Hybrid UX: support both keyword and conversational inputs. Show suggested queries that model natural language: "Coffee shops with outdoor seating on my way to work". Gradually shift users via progressive disclosure as they see better results.
Part VII: The Future — From Static Listings to Living Maps
Semantic search and deflection advertising represent more than incremental improvements — they signal a paradigm shift in how we discover and navigate the physical world.
The map of tomorrow isn't a static directory of places. It's a living, intelligent layer that understands your intent, optimizes your route, and connects you with the right experiences at the right moments.
What This Unlocks
- →Effortless Discovery — No more scrolling through 50 listings. The platform understands "quiet brunch spot with gluten-free options" and shows you the one semantically perfect match.
- →Merchant Equity — Small businesses compete on relevance, not ad budget. A 3-table café with rave reviews for "cozy ambiance" can outrank chains if it matches user intent.
- →Route Intelligence — Your daily commute becomes a personalized discovery feed. Monday morning? Coffee + breakfast burrito. Friday evening? Craft beer + live music — all optimized for minimal detour.
- →Economic Efficiency — Merchants pay only for real value (visits, claims). Users get better recommendations. The platform captures value by being the most efficient matchmaker.
The Path Forward
Yelp and Google aren't going away. But they're vulnerable to a platform that offers:
- 1.Better user experience through semantic understanding and conversational discovery
- 2.Lower merchant costs via outcome-based pricing and transparent ROI
- 3.Privacy-first architecture using on-device signals and differential privacy
- 4.Network effects from proprietary data — semantic embeddings + user preference models + route behavior create defensible moats
The $15B Question
Can a semantic deflection platform capture 5-10% of local search ad spend over the next 5 years?
The technology exists. The market gap is real. The unit economics work. All that's missing is execution — building the semantic stack, launching the vertical wedge, proving merchant ROI, and scaling ruthlessly.
At Maei.ai, we're building the semantic infrastructure for motion and trajectories. Deflection advertising is the natural evolution of our agentic POI platforms and trajectory annotation services. The pieces are coming together.
The question isn't if someone will disrupt Yelp and Google with semantic search and route-aware advertising. The question is who moves first — and moves fast enough to capture the market before the incumbents adapt.
The map is being redrawn. Not with better listings — but with better understanding of what users need, where they're going, and how to connect them with the right places at the right moments.
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Goetz Weber
Contributor @ Maei.ai
Pioneer in motion intelligence, trajectory AI, and semantic routing. Theoretical physicist turned AI innovator.
Follow me on LinkedIn for insights on motion intelligence and AI